Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Krasnodar | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
54.25% ( -1.72) | 23.96% ( 0.58) | 21.79% ( 1.14) |
Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( -1.04) | 49.53% ( 1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( -0.95) | 71.56% ( 0.95) |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.84% ( -1.01) | 18.16% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.86% ( -1.76) | 49.14% ( 1.76) |
Krylia Sovetov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( 0.55) | 37.26% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( 0.54) | 74.05% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
FC Krasnodar | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.79% |
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