SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
50.46% ( -0.27) | 25.03% ( 0.12) | 24.51% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( -0.35) | 51.22% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( -0.31) | 73.05% ( 0.31) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( -0.25) | 20.3% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( -0.4) | 52.68% ( 0.4) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -0.06) | 35.67% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -0.06) | 72.44% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.51% |
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