Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
