Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
52.81% ( -0.15)	23.39% ( 0.1)	23.8% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0.42)

44.97% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

-0.4)

67.33% (

0.4)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.21)

17.01% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.37)

47.14% (

0.36)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

-0.2)

32.88% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

-0.21)

69.46% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 52.81%

Sagan Tosu 23.8%

Draw 23.38%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.81%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.8%