SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Fenerbahce |
47.85% ( -1.06) | 24.25% ( -0.18) | 27.9% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( 1.66) | 45.37% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 1.57) | 67.7% ( -1.57) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.22) | 19.06% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( 0.37) | 50.66% ( -0.37) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 1.8) | 29.84% ( -1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 2.13) | 65.92% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.61)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.21% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.9% |
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