Buoyed by their victory against Go Ahead Eagles, Heracles will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to steer clear of the danger zone. However, Oosting's men have been near-impenetrable at home this season and we see them coming away with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
0.03) 
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