SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
85.02% ( 0.03) | 9.95% ( -0.02) | 5.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.41% ( 0.07) | 25.58% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.32% ( 0.09) | 45.68% ( -0.1) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.84% ( 0.02) | 4.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.63% ( 0.06) | 17.36% ( -0.06) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.39% ( 0.01) | 49.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.62% ( 0.01) | 84.38% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
| 3-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 85.02% | 1-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 9.95% | 1-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 5.02% |
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