SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
56.71% ( 0.07) | 21.79% ( 0.13) | 21.49% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( -0.82) | 40.44% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.85) | 62.81% ( 0.86) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( -0.25) | 14.1% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.27% ( -0.5) | 41.73% ( 0.51) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.63) | 32.42% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( -0.72) | 68.94% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.71% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.5% |
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