SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.6%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 6.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.67%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-0 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
6.41% ( 0.52) | 12.99% ( 0.73) | 80.6% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.7% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.32% ( -1.43) | 35.67% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.26% ( -1.59) | 57.74% ( 1.59) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.92% ( 0.55) | 53.08% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.3% ( 0.34) | 86.7% ( -0.34) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.14% ( -0.55) | 6.86% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.77% ( -1.48) | 25.23% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.41% | 1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.99% | 0-2 @ 13.07% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 11.67% ( -0.22)0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.4)1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 7.82% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.96% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 4.19% ( -0.35)1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.83% Total : 80.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
