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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
CL

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari

Cataldi (24')
Comuzzo (30'), Dodo (58'), Gosens (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mina (35'), Nicola (83'), Luvumbo (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Empoli (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Cagliari

Though their rhythm has been broken by recent events, the Viola should prevail and write their names into club history with an eighth straight league win. Cagliari (10) and Fiorentina (eight) have gained the most points in Serie A via goals scored after the 70th minute, so a dramatic conclusion could be in store. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
68.5% (0.12700000000001 0.13) 18.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 13.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.42% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.8% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.043000000000006 0.04)10.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09)34.76% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)42.43% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.19% (-0.081 -0.08)78.81% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 68.5%
    Cagliari 13.03%
    Draw 18.46%
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.43% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 68.5%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Empoli (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Pafos
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Como 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: APOEL 2-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, November 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-3 AC Milan
Saturday, November 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Cagliari
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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