A repeat of the result in December's reverse fixture could be on the cards, as Fiorentina are far tougher to beat on home turf and Roma do not always produce their best outside the capital. The Giallorossi's rapid progress may therefore hit a minor bump in the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.25) 
-0.3) 
