SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
57.06% ( 0.11) | 23.27% ( 0.28) | 19.67% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( -1.65) | 49.28% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( -1.5) | 71.34% ( 1.5) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.55) | 17.04% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( -0.98) | 47.2% ( 0.97) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( -1.37) | 39.3% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( -1.3) | 76.01% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.91% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.67% |
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