SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
51.45% ( 0.55) | 24.42% ( -0.29) | 24.13% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( 0.97) | 49.06% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( 0.87) | 71.14% ( -0.87) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.6) | 19.06% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( 0.98) | 50.65% ( -0.99) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( 0.3) | 34.83% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( 0.31) | 71.57% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.13% |
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