SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Flamengo |
43.57% ( 0.68) | 26.21% ( 0.31) | 30.22% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( -1.67) | 52.44% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( -1.45) | 74.11% ( 1.45) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( -0.4) | 23.92% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( -0.57) | 58.13% ( 0.57) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -1.55) | 31.8% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( -1.81) | 68.23% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.22% |
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