SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
44.2% ( -0.3) | 23.7% ( -0.02) | 32.09% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.22) | 40.61% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( 0.23) | 62.99% ( -0.23) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.03) | 18.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -0.06) | 50% ( 0.06) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( 0.3) | 24.68% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.78% ( 0.41) | 59.22% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.09% |
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