Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.