SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.43%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
22.05% ( -0.22) | 21.52% ( 0.06) | 56.43% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.56) | 38.43% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.59) | 60.72% ( 0.6) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( -0.5) | 30.79% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( -0.6) | 67.05% ( 0.6) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( -0.14) | 13.52% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( -0.27) | 40.57% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
