SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
63.18% ( -0.44) | 19.14% ( 0.28) | 17.68% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.33% ( -1.05) | 33.67% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.51% ( -1.21) | 55.49% ( 1.21) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( -0.41) | 10.2% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.51% ( -0.94) | 33.49% ( 0.94) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.48) | 32.21% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.54) | 68.7% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.43% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 17.68% |
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