Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.14) 
