Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.14) 
