There has only actually been one draw in the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we can see the points being shared on Friday. Real Valladolid have been poor defensively this term, but Getafe struggle to find the back of the net, and we are expecting a low-scoring affair at Estadio Coliseum.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 42.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
0.88) 
-1.05) 
