This is a really difficult match to call, especially considering how the two teams have performed in the league this season. Getafe have shared the points in seven of their 15 La Liga matches this term, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.88%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Getafe in this match.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
