SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Angola |
45.82% ( 0.27) | 27.86% ( 0.17) | 26.32% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( -0.8) | 60.36% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( -0.61) | 80.51% ( 0.61) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.22) | 26.35% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( -0.3) | 61.49% ( 0.31) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.82) | 39.14% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( -0.78) | 75.85% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ghana | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.32% |
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