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League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
CT

Gillingham
2 - 2
Cheltenham

Clarke (24'), Lapslie (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (36'), Miller (60')
Jude-Boyd (32'), Bakare (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Given that Cheltenham have scored in all of their away league games this season, and have scored two in each of their last three matches, it is likely they will score again on Friday. However, Gillingham's defensive strength may limit the visitors' offensive output, and it is hard to see anything other than a hard-fought stalemate in this week's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
45.79% (0.745 0.74) 26.33% (0.041 0.04) 27.87% (-0.785 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.561 -0.56)54.04% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.472 -0.47)75.47% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.161 0.16)57.59% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.904 -0.9)34.4% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.979 -0.98)71.11% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 45.79%
    Cheltenham Town 27.87%
    Draw 26.33%
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 2-1 Gillingham
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Gillingham (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Tranmere
Friday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two


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