Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
