SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
43.53% ( -0.03) | 30.21% ( -0.04) | 26.26% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 39.08% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.49% ( 0.14) | 67.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.39% ( 0.09) | 85.61% ( -0.09) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( 0.06) | 31.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( 0.06) | 67.39% ( -0.06) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.7% ( 0.15) | 43.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( 0.12) | 79.55% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 15.72% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.52% | 0-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.2% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.26% |
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