SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Estudiantes |
31.79% ( -0.2) | 30.14% ( 0.22) | 38.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.69) | 65.77% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.57% ( -0.48) | 84.43% ( 0.48) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.53) | 37.75% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( -0.52) | 74.53% ( 0.52) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.38) | 33.43% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( -0.42) | 70.06% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.7% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.13% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.06% |
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