SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Gimnasia |
50.99% ( -0.42) | 26.37% ( 0.12) | 22.63% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.19% ( -0.16) | 57.8% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.46% ( -0.12) | 78.53% ( 0.12) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( -0.25) | 22.78% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% ( -0.37) | 56.48% ( 0.37) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.21) | 41.11% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( 0.19) | 77.65% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.63% |
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