Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
