SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
48.58% ( 3.25) | 24.01% ( 0.27) | 27.4% ( -3.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( -3.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( -3.32) | 44.66% ( 3.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% ( -3.29) | 67.03% ( 3.29) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0) | 18.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( 0) | 49.71% ( -0) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( -4.08) | 29.84% ( 4.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( -5.23) | 65.92% ( 5.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 1.27)2-0 @ 7.86% ( 1.08)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.49)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.75)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.6)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.36)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.41% |
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