SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
58.53% ( -0.17) | 21.68% ( 0.05) | 19.79% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.06) | 42.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( -0.06) | 64.7% ( 0.07) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( -0.07) | 14.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.18% ( -0.14) | 41.82% ( 0.15) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( 0.09) | 35.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( 0.09) | 71.9% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 58.53% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.79% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
