SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
40.49% ( -0.39) | 26.04% ( 0.55) | 33.46% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( -2.39) | 50.72% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( -2.14) | 72.62% ( 2.14) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -1.26) | 24.71% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( -1.79) | 59.25% ( 1.79) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( -1.26) | 28.74% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -1.6) | 64.58% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.46% |
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