SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glenavon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
49.6% ( 0) | 24.56% ( 0.04) | 25.84% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.21) | 48.22% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.19) | 70.37% ( 0.19) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.08) | 19.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( -0.13) | 51.33% ( 0.13) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.15) | 32.93% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.17) | 69.51% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.84% |
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