SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Portadown |
40.02% ( -0.01) | 25.79% ( -0) | 34.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.01) | 49.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.01) | 71.56% ( -0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0) | 24.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( -0) | 58.84% ( -0) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( 0.01) | 27.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( 0.02) | 63.27% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Portadown |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.19% |
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