Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
