SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
44.21% ( -0.09) | 30.08% ( -0.17) | 25.71% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 39.04% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.62% ( 0.56) | 67.37% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.48% ( 0.38) | 85.52% ( -0.38) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( 0.24) | 30.62% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( 0.28) | 66.86% ( -0.29) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.27% ( 0.57) | 43.72% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.1% ( 0.47) | 79.89% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.84% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 44.21% | 0-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.29) 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 25.7% |
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