SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
49.86% ( 0.06) | 25.1% ( -0) | 25.04% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( -0.02) | 51.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0.02) | 72.91% ( 0.02) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( 0.02) | 52.97% ( -0.02) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.05) | 35.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( -0.06) | 71.87% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.04% |
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