Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.27% ( -0.88) | 26.22% ( 0.57) | 35.51% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 53.44% ( -1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( -2.42) | 51.16% ( 2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -2.15) | 73.01% ( 2.16) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( -1.58) | 26.1% ( 1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( -2.17) | 61.16% ( 2.17) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.31% ( -0.97) | 27.69% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.75% ( -1.26) | 63.25% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.51% |
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