These two teams may be the most well-organised defensive units in the region and perhaps the most physically intimidating to face, but we believe the attacking depth of Panama will give them a slight edge on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
-1.28) 
0.02) 
