Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Caen had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
-0.77) 
0.15) 
