SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Haka had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
27.65% ( 0.02) | 27.28% ( 0.03) | 45.07% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.35% ( -0.1) | 57.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% ( -0.08) | 78.41% ( 0.08) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( -0.03) | 36.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( -0.03) | 73.31% ( 0.03) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.07) | 25.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( -0.1) | 60.33% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.07% |
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