SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Haka had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
26.74% ( 0.53) | 25.77% ( 0.34) | 47.49% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -1.01) | 52.51% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.87) | 74.18% ( 0.87) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( -0.11) | 34.5% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% ( -0.12) | 71.21% ( 0.11) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.8) | 22.11% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( -1.22) | 55.48% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.74% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.49% |
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