Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamburger SV | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
48.03% (![]() | 22.42% (![]() | 29.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.26% (![]() | 35.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.2% (![]() | 57.8% (![]() |
Hamburger SV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% (![]() | 15.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.96% (![]() | 44.04% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% (![]() | 58.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.22% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.03% | 1-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 7.04% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.54% |
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