Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Karlsruher SC
53.53% ( 0.03)	21.7% ( -0)	24.76% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 62.74% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.81% (

-0.02)

36.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.7% (

-0.02)

58.3% (

0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.34% (

13.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.15% (

0.01)

40.85% (

-0.01)

Karlsruher SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.03)

27.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-0.04)

62.78% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 53.53%

Karlsruher SC 24.76%

Draw 21.7%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Karlsruher SC
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.53%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 24.76%