SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar |
40.32% ( -0.75) | 24.87% ( -0.05) | 34.81% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.38) | 45.27% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.36) | 67.61% ( -0.36) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.2) | 22.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( -0.31) | 55.88% ( 0.31) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( 0.65) | 25.31% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( 0.88) | 60.08% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.81% |
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