SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
25.01% ( -0.07) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 49.19% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( -0.02) | 53.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( -0.01) | 75.3% ( 0.02) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.07) | 36.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.54% ( -0.07) | 73.47% ( 0.08) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( 0.03) | 21.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.83% ( 0.05) | 55.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.19% |
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