SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
31.19% ( -0.02) | 25.09% ( -0.01) | 43.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( 0.02) | 47.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( 0.02) | 69.56% ( -0.02) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0) | 28.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( -0.01) | 64.34% ( 0.01) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.02) | 21.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( 0.04) | 54.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.19% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.72% |
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