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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
32.06% ( -0.38) | 25.25% ( -0.01) | 42.69% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.09) | 47.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.08) | 69.88% ( 0.08) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.29) | 28.15% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( -0.37) | 63.83% ( 0.37) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.15) | 22.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( 0.23) | 55.73% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.69% |
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