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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Haverfordwest

Owen (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Barry
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
30.37% (0.622 0.62) 23.31% (0.187 0.19) 46.31% (-0.813 -0.81)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (-0.543 -0.54)39.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (-0.567 -0.57)61.89% (0.562 0.56)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.121 0.12)25.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (0.171 0.17)59.95% (-0.176 -0.18)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.521 -0.52)17.4% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (-0.918 -0.92)47.82% (0.912 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 30.37%
    Haverfordwest County 46.31%
    Draw 23.3%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 4-2 Aberystwyth
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Barry
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 Haverfordwest
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 5-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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