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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
55.72% ( 0.04) | 22.18% ( -0.02) | 22.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.08) | 41.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.15% ( 0.08) | 63.84% ( -0.09) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( 0.04) | 14.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( 0.07) | 42.99% ( -0.08) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( 0.03) | 32.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( 0.03) | 68.96% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 22.1% |
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