SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Roda JC |
41.71% ( 0.22) | 23.96% ( -0.04) | 34.33% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.16) | 41.11% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0.16) | 63.51% ( -0.16) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( 0.17) | 19.95% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% ( 0.27) | 52.11% ( -0.27) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.03) | 23.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( -0.04) | 57.72% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.33% |
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